Reputation: 109
I've been using the numpy.polyfit
function to do some forecasting. If I put in a degree of 1, it works, but I need to do a second degree polynomial fit. In some cases it works, in other cases the plot of the prediction goes down and then goes up forever. For example:
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from numpy import *
x=[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10]
y=[100,85,72,66,52,48,39,33,29,32]
fit = polyfit(x, y, degree)
fitfunction = poly1d(z4)
to_predict=[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20]
plt.plot(to_predict,fitfunction(to_predict))
plt.show()
After I run that, this shows up (I tried putting a picture up but stackoverflow won't let me).
I want to force it to go through zero.
How would I do that?
Upvotes: 5
Views: 9053
Reputation: 514
if anyone has to do this under a deadline, a quick solution is to just add a bunch of extra points at 0 to skew the weighting off. i did this:
for i in range(0,100):
x_vent.insert(i,0)
y_vent.insert(i,0)
slope_vent,intercept_vent=np.polyfit(x_vent,y_vent,1)
Upvotes: 2
Reputation: 523484
If you don't need the fit's error be computed using the original least square formula (i.e. minimizing ∑ |yi - (axi2 + bxi)|2), you could try to perform a linear fit of y/x
instead, because (ax2 + bx)/x = ax + b.
If you must use the same error metric, construct the coefficient matrices directly and use numpy.linalg.lstsq
:
coeff = numpy.transpose([x*x, x])
((a, b), _, _, _) = numpy.linalg.lstsq(coeff, y)
polynomial = numpy.poly1d([a, b, 0])
(Note that your provided data sequence does not look like a parabola having a y-intercept of 0.)
Upvotes: 6