Reputation: 423
I am trying to minimize a highly non-linear function by optimizing three unknown parameters a, b, and c0. I'm attempting to replicate some governing equations of a casino roulette ball in Python 3.
Here is the link to the research paper: http://www.dewtronics.com/tutorials/roulette/documents/Roulette_Physik.pdf
I will be referencing equations (35) and (40) in the paper. Basically, I take stopwatch lap measurements of the roulette ball spinning on the wheel. For each successive lap, the lap time will increase because of losses of momentum to non-conservative forces of friction. Then I take these time measurements and fit equation (35) using a Levenberg-Marquardt least squares method in equation (40).
My question is twofold: (1) I'm using the scipy.optimize.least_squares() method='lm', and I'm not sure how to write the objective function! Right now I have the function written exactly as is in the paper:
def fall_time(k,a,b,c0):
F = (1 / (a * b)) * (c0 - np.arcsinh(c0) * np.exp(a * k * 2 * np.pi))
return F
def parameter_estimation_function(x0,tk):
a = x0[0]
b = x0[1]
c0 = x0[2]
S = 0
for i,t in enumerate(tk):
k = i + 1
S += (t - fall_time(k,a,b,c0))**2
return [S,1,1]
sol = least_squares(parameter_estimation_function,[0.1,0.8,-0.1],args=([tk1]),method='lm',jac='2-point',max_nfev=2000)
print(sol)
Now, in the documentation examples, I never saw the objective function written the way I have it. In the documentation, the objective function is always returns the residual, not the square of the residual. Additionally, in the documentation they never use the sum! So I'm wondering if the sum and the square are automatically handled under the hood of least_squares()
?
(2) Perhaps my second question is a result of my failure to understand how to write the objective function. But anyhow, I'm having trouble getting the algorithm to converge on the minimum. I know this is because the levenberg alogrithm is "greedy" and stops near the closest minima, but I figured that I would be able to at least converge on about the same result given different initial guesses. With slight alterations in the initial guess, I'm getting parameter results with different signs. Additionally, I've yet to find a combination of initial guesses that allows the algo to converge! It always times out before it finds the solution. I've even increased the amount of function evaluations to 10,000 to see if it would. To no avail!
Perhaps somebody could shed some light on my mistakes here! I'm still relatively new to python and the scipy library!
Here is some sample data for tk
that I've measured myself from the video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Zj_9ypBnzg
tk = [0.52,1.28,2.04,3.17,4.53,6.22]
tk1 = [0.51,1.4,2.09,3,4.42,6.17]
tk2 = [0.63,1.35,2.19,3.02,4.57,6.29]
tk3 = [0.63,1.39,2.23,3.28,4.70,6.32]
tk4 = [0.57,1.4,2.1,3.06,4.53,6.17]
Thanks
Upvotes: 2
Views: 12012
Reputation: 2515
1) Yes, as you suspected the sum and the square of the residuals are automatically handled.
2) Hard to say, since I'm not deeply familiar with the problem (e.g., how many local minima exist, what constitutes a 'reasonable' result, etc.). I may investigate more later.
But for kicks I fiddled with some of the values to see what would happen. For example, you can just replace the 1/b
constant with a standalone variable b_inv
, and this seemed to stabilize the results quite a bit. Here's the code I used to check results. (Note that I rewrote the objective function for brevity. It simply leverages the element-wise operations of numpy arrays, without changing the overall result.)
import numpy as np
from scipy.optimize import least_squares
def fall_time(k,a,b_inv,c0):
return (b_inv / a) * (c0 - np.arcsinh(c0) * np.exp(a * k * 2 * np.pi))
def parameter_estimation_function(x,tk):
return np.asarray(tk) - fall_time(k=np.arange(1,len(tk)+1), a=x[0],b_inv=x[1],c0=x[2])
tk_samples = [
[0.52,1.28,2.04,3.17,4.53,6.22],
[0.51,1.4,2.09,3,4.42,6.17],
[0.63,1.35,2.19,3.02,4.57,6.29],
[0.63,1.39,2.23,3.28,4.70,6.32],
[0.57,1.4,2.1,3.06,4.53,6.17]
]
for i in range(len(tk_samples)):
sol = least_squares(parameter_estimation_function,[0.1,1.25,-0.1],
args=(tk_samples[i],),method='lm',jac='2-point',max_nfev=2000)
print(sol.x)
with console output:
[ 0.03621789 0.64201913 -0.12072879]
[ 3.59319972e-02 1.17129458e+01 -6.53358716e-03]
[ 3.55516005e-02 1.48491493e+01 -5.31098257e-03]
[ 3.18068316e-02 1.11828091e+01 -7.75329834e-03]
[ 3.43920725e-02 1.25160378e+01 -6.36307506e-03]
Upvotes: 3